Exploring Future Flora, Environments, and Climates Through Simulations (EFFECTS)

Publications

Bowen, Z. H., C. L. Aldridge, P. J. Anderson, T. J. Assal, L. R. H. Biewick, S. W. Blecker, G. K. Boughton, S. Bristol, N. B. Carr, A. D. Chalfoun, G. W. Chong, M. L. Clark, J. E. Diffendorfer, B. C. Fedy, K. Foster, S. L. Garman, S. Germaine, J. Holloway, C. Homer, M. J. Kauffman, D. Keinath, N. Latysh, D. Manier, R. R. McDougal, C. P. Melcher, K. A. Miller, J. Montag, C. J. Potter, S. Schell, S. L. Shafer, D. B. Smith, L. L. Stillings, M. Tuttle, and A. B. Wilson. 2011. U.S. Geological Survey Science for the Wyoming Landscape Conservation Initiative—2010 Annual Report. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2011-1219, 147 p.

Lawler, J. J., E. Nelson, M. Conte, S. L. Shafer, D. Ennaanay, and G. Mendoza. 2011. Modeling the impacts of climate change on ecosystem services. Chapter 18, in P. Kareiva, H. Tallis, T. H. Ricketts, G. C. Daily, and S. Polasky (eds.), Natural Capital: Theory and Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services, Oxford Univ. Press, p. 323-338.

Shafer, S. L., M. E. Harmon, R. P. Neilson, R. Seidl, B. St. Clair, and A. Yost. 2010. The potential effects of climate change on Oregon's vegetation, Chapter 5 in K. D. Dello and P. W. Mote (eds.), Oregon Climate Assessment Report. Oregon Climate Change Research Institute, College of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR.

Bowen, Z. H., C. L. Aldridge, P. J. Anderson, T. J. Assal, L. R. H. Biewick, S. W. Blecker, S. Bristol, N. B. Carr, A. D. Chalfoun, G. W. Chong, J. E. Diffendorfer, B. C. Fedy, S. L. Garman, S. Germaine, R. I. Grauch, J. Holloway, C. Homer, M. J. Kauffman, D. Keinath, N. Latysh, D. Manier, R. R. McDougal, C. P. Melcher, K. A. Miller, J. Montag, C. J. Nutt, C. J. Potter, H. Sawyer, S. Schell, S. L. Shafer, D. B. Smith, L. L. Stillings, M. Tuttle, and A. B. Wilson. 2010. U.S. Geological Survey Science for the Wyoming Landscape Conservation Initiative—2009 Annual Report. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1231, 106 p.

Lawler, J. J., S. L. Shafer, B. A. Bancroft, and A. R. Blaustein. 2010. Projected climate impacts for the amphibians of the western hemisphere. Conservation Biology 24:38-50.

Bowen, Z.H., C. L. Aldridge, P. J. Anderson, G. W. Chong, M. A. Drummond, C. Homer, R. C. Johnson, M. J. Kauffman, S. T. Knick, J. J. Kosovich, K. A. Miller, T. Owens, S. Shafer, and M. J. Sweat. 2009. U.S. Geological Survey Science Strategy for the Wyoming Landscape Conservation Initiative. U.S. Geological Survey Scientific Investigations Report 2008-5195, 26 p.

Tang, G., S. L. Shafer, P. J. Bartlein, J. O. Holman. 2009. Effects of experimental protocol on global vegetation model accuracy: A comparison of simulated and observed vegetation patterns for Asia. Ecological Modelling 220:1481-1491.

Lawler, J. J., S. L. Shafer, D. White, P. Kareiva, E. P. Maurer, A. R. Blaustein, and P. J. Bartlein. 2009. Projected climate-induced faunal change in the western hemisphere. Ecology 90:588-597.

Bartlein, P. J., S. W. Hostetler, S. L. Shafer, J. O. Holman, and A. M. Solomon. 2008. Temporal and spatial structure in a daily wildfire-start data set from the western United States (1986-96). International Journal of Wildland Fire 17:8-17.

Shafer, S. L., P. J. Bartlein, and C. Whitlock. 2005. Understanding the spatial heterogeneity of global environmental change in mountain regions. Pages 21-30 in U. Huber, H. K. M. Bugmann, and M. A. Reasoner (eds.), Global Change and Mountain Regions: A State of Knowledge Overview. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, Germany.

Diffenbaugh, N. S., L. C. Sloan, M. A. Snyder, J. L. Bell, J. Kaplan, S. L. Shafer, and P. J. Bartlein. 2003. Vegetation sensitivity to global anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions in a topographically complex region. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 17(2), 1067, doi:10.1029/2002GB001974.

Whitlock, C., S. L. Shafer, and J. Marlon. 2003. The role of climate and vegetation change in shaping past and future fire regimes in the northwestern U.S. and the implications for ecosystem management. Forest Ecology and Management 178:5-21.

Hansen, A. J., R. P. Neilson, V. Dale, C. Flather, L. Iverson, D. J. Currie, S. Shafer, R. Cook, and P. J. Bartlein. 2001. Global change in forests: Responses of species, communities and biomes. BioScience 51:765-779.

Shafer, S. L., P. J. Bartlein, and R. S. Thompson. 2001. Potential changes in the distributions of Western North America tree and shrub taxa under future climate scenarios. Ecosystems 4:200-215.

Bartlein, P. J., C. Whitlock, and S. Shafer. 1997. Future climate in the Yellowstone National Park region and its potential impact on vegetation. Conservation Biology 11:782-792.